Hej svejs Bayes, online kalkylator

Experimentera enkelt med en Bayesiansk metod som hjälpmedel för att avgöra det samlade bevisvärdet (i brottmål). Metoden används inte av domstolar men här gör vi som vi vill.
Tryck här för att komma till kalkylatorn.

Allmänt om Bayes:
“Proper use of Bayesian reasoning has the potential to improve the efficiency, transparency, and fairness of criminal and civil justice systems. It can help experts formulate accurate and informative opinions; help courts determine admissibility of evidence; help prosecutors identify which cases should be pursued; and help lawyers to explain, and jurors to evaluate, the weight of evidence during a trial. It can also help identify errors and unjustified assumptions entailed in expert opinions.”
(Ur “Bayes and the Law“, 2016, Fenton/Neil/Berger).


*Bayes uttalas “bejs”. (Eller möjligen “bajes” på svenska).